Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
INT
2 - 2
ROM
56%
21%
23%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 1
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 1
ROM
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
77%
16%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 1
ROM
15%
24%
61%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
NAP
5 - 0
VLZ
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
VLZ
0 - 3
NAP
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAN
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
PAN
0 - 1
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NAP
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |