Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 5-1
Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
TRE
0 - 1
ROM
20%
25%
56%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
ROM
4 - 0
CHI
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 1
ROM
41%
27%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
ROM
3 - 1
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ROM
1 - 2
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACI
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 1
GRO
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
NAP
3 - 0
VIR
63%
23%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
FRO
1 - 3
NAP
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
NAP
0 - 3
ROM
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |