Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
BOL
0 - 0
ROM
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1997 |
VER
1 - 2
ROM
27%
28%
45%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
ROM
3 - 1
LEC
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
ROM
0 - 0
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
ROM
5 - 3
VER
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
NAP
0 - 1
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
NAP
2 - 1
PRG
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
VIC
1 - 1
NAP
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
NAP
2 - 1
EMP
70%
22%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
PRG
3 - 2
NAP
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |