Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
UDI
0 - 0
ROM
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
ROM
2 - 1
JUV
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
GEN
2 - 0
ROM
37%
27%
37%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1993 |
ROM
5 - 2
TOR
55%
26%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1993 |
TOR
3 - 0
ROM
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
NAP
0 - 0
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
USC
2 - 0
NAP
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
NAP
1 - 2
SAM
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
NAP
1 - 1
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
LAZ
4 - 3
NAP
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |