Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
24.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
JUV
2 - 2
ROM
64%
23%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
ROM
2 - 0
PIS
69%
21%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
FIO
0 - 0
ROM
66%
21%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
ROM
1 - 3
TOR
47%
28%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 2
ROM
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
SAM
0 - 2
NAP
39%
30%
31%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
NAP
3 - 1
INT
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VER
1 - 0
NAP
36%
30%
33%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
PIS
1 - 0
NAP
24%
30%
46%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACM
38%
29%
33%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |