Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
MAN
1 - 0
ROM
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
ROM
1 - 0
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
PAL
2 - 2
ROM
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
ROM
2 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
ROM
1 - 0
CAG
54%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
NAP
1 - 0
SPA
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
NAP
3 - 1
WIE
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
NAP
1 - 0
VIC
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1966 |
WIE
1 - 2
NAP
70%
17%
12%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
NAP
3 - 1
INT
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | +1 |