Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
PAD
0 - 3
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 1
ATL
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
SPA
1 - 2
ROM
34%
27%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ROM
1 - 2
BOL
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
NAP
4 - 0
PRO
59%
22%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
TOR
0 - 2
NAP
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
ASS
0 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
NAP
1 - 4
GEN
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
NAP
0 - 1
REG
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |