Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 1
NOV
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 0
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 0
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
VIC
2 - 0
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
SAM
1 - 0
ROM
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
PRO
0 - 0
NAP
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
NAP
2 - 0
ACM
29%
22%
49%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
GEN
3 - 1
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
NAP
0 - 2
NOV
68%
18%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 4
NAP
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |