Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1948 |
SAM
2 - 1
ROM
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1948 |
ROM
3 - 0
GEN
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
ROM
2 - 0
VIC
62%
20%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ACM
2 - 2
ROM
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 2
LAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 0
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1948 |
NAP
1 - 0
TRI
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
NAP
3 - 1
SAM
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
PRO
3 - 1
NAP
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
JUV
1 - 3
NAP
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |