Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
JUV
2 - 1
ROM
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 2
ACM
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1946 |
ROM
3 - 1
LIV
53%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1946 |
TOR
3 - 2
ROM
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1946 |
INT
1 - 0
ROM
69%
17%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
NAP
0 - 0
INT
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1946 |
TOR
7 - 1
NAP
83%
11%
6%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1946 |
NAP
4 - 0
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 3
NAP
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1946 |
JUV
6 - 0
NAP
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |