Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 2
ROM
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ROM
3 - 1
JUV
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
NOV
1 - 0
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ACL
2 - 0
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
NAP
1 - 1
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 0
NAP
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
NAP
0 - 0
JUV
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |