Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
NOV
5 - 1
ROM
20%
20%
60%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
ROM
3 - 0
ASL
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1936 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
39%
26%
36%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
ROM
0 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
SAM
0 - 2
NAP
43%
23%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
NAP
3 - 5
LAZ
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
NAP
2 - 1
INT
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1936 |
TOR
3 - 0
NAP
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
BAR
3 - 1
NAP
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |