Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
FIO
3 - 1
ROM
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 0
ROM
9%
15%
75%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1931 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1931 |
PRO
2 - 2
ROM
12%
17%
70%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1931 |
ROM
2 - 0
JUV
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
NAP
5 - 1
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1931 |
NAP
0 - 2
FIO
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1931 |
ACM
3 - 1
NAP
40%
21%
38%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1931 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1931 |
NAP
1 - 1
USA
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |