Roma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
TRI
0 - 0
ROM
22%
20%
58%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
ROM
2 - 0
USA
78%
13%
10%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
MOD
1 - 1
ROM
23%
21%
56%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
ROM
8 - 0
PAD
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1930 |
BOL
5 - 2
ROM
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
NAP
1 - 0
PRO
76%
13%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
GEN
4 - 2
NAP
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
NAP
1 - 0
LEO
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
TRI
3 - 4
NAP
24%
21%
55%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1930 |
PAD
3 - 0
NAP
22%
20%
58%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |