Roma vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
65%
22%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
VER
0 - 0
ROM
39%
29%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
ROM
2 - 1
FIO
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
ACM
4 - 1
ROM
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
MOD
0 - 4
NAP
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
LEC
3 - 1
MOD
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
CES
4 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
MOD
3 - 1
ARZ
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
SAM
4 - 1
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |