Roma vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
GEN
1 - 0
ROM
68%
17%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
ROM
0 - 0
BAR
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
ACM
3 - 0
ROM
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ROM
1 - 2
TOR
24%
24%
53%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 1
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
MOD
2 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
NOV
2 - 1
MOD
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |