Roma vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
SAL
0 - 1
ROM
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
ROM
4 - 2
ASL
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
TRI
2 - 0
ROM
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
ROM
2 - 3
INT
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
GEN
2 - 4
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
MOD
0 - 3
TOR
22%
24%
55%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
SAM
0 - 0
MOD
48%
23%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 0
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
MOD
3 - 0
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
JUV
0 - 1
MOD
82%
12%
7%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |