Roma vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
LIV
0 - 2
ROM
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
ROM
6 - 0
INT
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
ROM
7 - 0
ACL
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
TOR
2 - 2
ROM
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
MOD
2 - 3
GEN
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
JUV
1 - 1
MOD
73%
16%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
NAP
2 - 1
MOD
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
FIO
8 - 0
MOD
69%
16%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |