Roma vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
ROM
3 - 0
BRE
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACM
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
GEN
0 - 0
ROM
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
ROM
3 - 0
UNI
92%
5%
2%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
ROM
2 - 1
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
MOD
3 - 0
LAZ
36%
22%
42%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
MOD
3 - 2
USA
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
LIV
0 - 2
MOD
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
MOD
1 - 2
JUV
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
MOD
1 - 3
LEO
54%
21%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |