Roma vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1930 |
ROM
2 - 0
LIV
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
GEN
3 - 1
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
ROM
3 - 1
LAZ
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
INT
6 - 0
ROM
77%
14%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
ROM
7 - 0
LEO
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1930 |
MOD
2 - 1
TRI
50%
22%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
MOD
2 - 1
TOR
21%
20%
58%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
PRO
2 - 0
MOD
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
NAP
2 - 1
MOD
81%
11%
8%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
MOD
2 - 1
JUV
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |