Roma vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
BAR
1 - 4
ROM
22%
26%
52%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
ROM
1 - 0
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
JUV
2 - 2
ROM
49%
25%
26%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ROM
2 - 2
LAZ
46%
24%
30%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
UDI
1 - 3
ROM
45%
24%
30%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2001 |
ACM
1 - 2
FIO
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2001 |
INT
0 - 6
ACM
50%
25%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
PRG
2 - 1
ACM
35%
27%
38%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ACM
1 - 0
VER
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
LEC
3 - 3
ACM
31%
28%
42%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |