Roma vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
ASC
1 - 1
ROM
24%
27%
49%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
ROM
3 - 0
JUV
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
FIO
2 - 1
ROM
29%
29%
43%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
ROM
4 - 0
UDI
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 3
ROM
18%
29%
53%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
48%
27%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
ACM
2 - 0
AVE
59%
23%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
SAM
3 - 0
ACM
54%
26%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
ACM
3 - 0
FIO
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |