Roma vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 2
ROM
57%
22%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
GEN
2 - 0
ROM
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
ROM
2 - 0
JUV
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
BOL
1 - 2
ROM
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
ROM
5 - 1
NAP
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
ACM
3 - 0
GEN
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
JUV
3 - 2
ACM
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
ACM
2 - 0
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
NAP
2 - 1
ACM
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
ACM
7 - 1
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |