Roma vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 2
ROM
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
ROM
5 - 2
VNZ
62%
19%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
ATL
0 - 0
ROM
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
ROM
4 - 1
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
BOL
2 - 1
ROM
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
ACM
1 - 1
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
LIV
1 - 0
ACM
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
ACM
0 - 1
INT
41%
25%
33%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 0
ACM
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ACM
4 - 0
NAP
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |