Roma vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1935 |
ROM
5 - 1
PAL
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1935 |
JUV
2 - 1
ROM
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
ROM
3 - 0
USA
68%
17%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
BOL
1 - 1
ROM
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
ROM
1 - 2
TRI
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1935 |
ACM
3 - 0
JUV
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1935 |
USA
2 - 1
ACM
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
ACM
0 - 0
BOL
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
TRI
2 - 1
ACM
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
ACM
1 - 1
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |