Roma vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
50%
21%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
ROM
0 - 0
BAR
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
TOR
2 - 1
ROM
47%
22%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
ROM
2 - 1
INT
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
LAZ
1 - 4
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1932 |
ACM
6 - 1
TOR
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
PRO
2 - 0
ACM
27%
22%
51%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
ACM
1 - 1
TRI
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
ACM
3 - 0
LEO
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 2
ACM
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |