Europa League Last 16
Global 2-2
Roma vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ASC
3 - 2
ROM
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
MID
1 - 0
ROM
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 1
INT
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
LAZ
0 - 2
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 1
BRU
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 1
MID
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
MID
1 - 0
ROM
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
MID
1 - 0
BIR
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
WBA
0 - 2
MID
32%
28%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
MID
0 - 1
STU
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |