Roma vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 0
ROM
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 2
ROM
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1965 |
FTC
1 - 0
ROM
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
MES
1 - 0
ATL
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
MES
0 - 1
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
TOR
1 - 0
MES
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
CAG
2 - 1
MES
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
MES
0 - 0
USF
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |