Roma vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 1
ROM
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
ROM
2 - 0
CAG
80%
14%
7%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ROM
2 - 1
UDI
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
DYN
1 - 4
ROM
32%
25%
42%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
GEN
0 - 1
ROM
17%
23%
61%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MUD
4 - 1
DER
82%
14%
5%
|
95 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
MUD
2 - 0
FUL
77%
16%
7%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
MUD
2 - 1
SCP
73%
18%
10%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 0
MUD
15%
23%
63%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MUD
2 - 0
BBU
68%
20%
12%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |