Roma vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1936 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
ROM
0 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
ROM
0 - 0
GEN
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1936 |
JUV
5 - 1
ROM
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
ASL
1 - 0
SAM
40%
24%
37%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1936 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ASL
76%
14%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
TRI
4 - 1
ASL
68%
18%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
ASL
0 - 0
BAR
49%
23%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1936 |
USA
1 - 0
ASL
70%
17%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |