Roma vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
INT
0 - 2
ROM
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
ROM
2 - 1
LAZ
59%
21%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
ACL
0 - 3
ROM
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1941 |
ROM
0 - 0
TOR
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
TRI
0 - 0
ROM
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
LIV
0 - 0
GEN
39%
24%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
JUV
2 - 3
LIV
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
LIV
1 - 1
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1941 |
NAP
2 - 1
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
LIV
2 - 2
MOD
55%
22%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |