Roma vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
VIS
0 - 4
ROM
27%
24%
50%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1938 |
BAR
3 - 1
ROM
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1938 |
ROM
3 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
INT
0 - 0
ROM
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
ROM
2 - 2
NAP
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
LIV
2 - 1
SAL
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 0
MOD
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1938 |
ASL
2 - 1
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 0
TRI
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |