Roma vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
ROM
0 - 1
PIA
79%
15%
7%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
UDI
0 - 2
ROM
43%
25%
33%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1999 |
ROM
1 - 0
NEW
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ROM
4 - 1
LAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
REG
0 - 4
ROM
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LEC
2 - 1
VNZ
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
INT
6 - 0
LEC
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
LEC
1 - 0
UDI
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 1
PRG
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
LAZ
4 - 2
LEC
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |