Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
17º
9º
45
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 86 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
1º
|
55 | 84 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 80 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 70 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 69 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 68 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 66 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 59 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 58 |
9º
|
46.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 38 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 34 |
17º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 32 |
18º
|
22.5% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 28 |
19º
|
32.5% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 28 |
20º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 35% |
|
Europa League
|
1.5% | 21% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 1
ROM
62%
22%
17%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ROM
5 - 0
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
ROM
4 - 1
SAM
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
COM
2 - 0
ROM
18%
24%
58%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
ROM
3 - 0
SPB
64%
20%
16%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
36%
25%
40%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 2
LAZ
16%
21%
63%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
LAZ
0 - 6
INT
22%
24%
54%
|
96 | 100 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 3
LAZ
20%
23%
58%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 1
LAZ
49%
24%
26%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | 0 |