Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
INT
3 - 1
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ROM
5 - 0
CRO
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 2
MUD
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
ROM
22%
22%
56%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MUD
6 - 2
ROM
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
LAZ
4 - 3
GEN
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ACM
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
NAP
5 - 2
LAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |