Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 3
ROM
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ROM
3 - 0
VER
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LIV
0 - 2
ROM
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CHL
2 - 1
ROM
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
MLS
1 - 3
ROM
3%
11%
86%
|
86 | 11 | 75 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
LAZ
1 - 0
WAR
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LAZ
3 - 0
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 1
LAZ
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LAZ
2 - 1
UDI
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 0
LAZ
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |