Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2005 |
ROM
1 - 1
UDI
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 1
ROM
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ROM
2 - 2
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 1
ROM
37%
27%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ROM
0 - 2
SIE
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
LAZ
0 - 1
UDI
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
LEC
5 - 3
LAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
LAZ
0 - 1
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
CAG
1 - 1
LAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 2
LAZ
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |