Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
ROM
0 - 1
CSK
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
FIO
0 - 1
ROM
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
CSK
1 - 2
ROM
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
CAG
0 - 1
ROM
18%
28%
54%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
ROM
0 - 0
GEN
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
LAZ
0 - 1
INT
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
ASC
1 - 4
LAZ
43%
30%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
TOR
0 - 1
LAZ
66%
22%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
LAZ
3 - 2
FIA
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |