Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
REG
0 - 1
ROM
17%
25%
58%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
GEN
0 - 2
ROM
28%
29%
43%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
ROM
2 - 1
TOR
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
ROM
2 - 0
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
ACM
1 - 1
ROM
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
LAZ
2 - 1
SAM
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
JUV
2 - 1
LAZ
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
LAZ
2 - 1
GEN
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
LAZ
1 - 1
VER
36%
30%
34%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |