Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
USF
1 - 0
ROM
41%
30%
29%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
ROM
1 - 0
FCC
70%
21%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VER
1 - 1
ROM
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1977 |
ROM
1 - 0
TOR
37%
30%
34%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1977 |
CES
4 - 0
ROM
44%
31%
25%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
PRG
2 - 0
LAZ
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
LAZ
1 - 0
SAM
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 0
LAZ
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1977 |
LAZ
4 - 1
FIO
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |