Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
PAL
3 - 2
ROM
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
NAP
0 - 2
ROM
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1958 |
JUV
3 - 0
ROM
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
ROM
5 - 1
SAM
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
INT
1 - 1
ROM
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
LAZ
3 - 1
NAP
61%
19%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
LAZ
5 - 1
PAL
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
LAZ
4 - 0
VER
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
GEN
5 - 2
LAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |