Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1948 |
PRO
2 - 2
ROM
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 1
ROM
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 2
BOL
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
TOR
4 - 1
ROM
90%
7%
3%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 0
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1948 |
LAZ
0 - 0
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1948 |
LAZ
3 - 0
GEN
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
PRO
1 - 1
LAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |