Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
NAP
1 - 1
ROM
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
ROM
4 - 2
SAL
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
ROM
1 - 1
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
LAZ
6 - 0
PES
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
ANC
1 - 0
LAZ
22%
22%
57%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
SIE
0 - 0
LAZ
28%
22%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
LAZ
0 - 1
PAL
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |