Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
TRI
2 - 0
ROM
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
ROM
2 - 3
GEN
53%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
JUV
1 - 2
ROM
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 0
LIV
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
INT
0 - 2
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
LAZ
3 - 2
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
ACL
2 - 0
LAZ
29%
22%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
LAZ
2 - 3
TOR
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
VNZ
2 - 1
LAZ
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
LAZ
4 - 2
ACM
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |