Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 2
ROM
38%
25%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACL
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
FIO
1 - 4
ROM
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 3
GEN
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 1
INT
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASL
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
LAZ
2 - 1
TRI
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
ACL
2 - 1
LAZ
41%
22%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |