Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Roma vs Köln XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
ROM
1 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ROM
1 - 3
FIO
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1961 |
ROM
3 - 0
BOL
67%
18%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
ROM
6 - 3
VIC
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1961 |
KOL
0 - 2
ROM
16%
20%
64%
|
80 | 17 | 63 | 0 |
Matches
Köln XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1961 |
KOL
0 - 2
ROM
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 80 | 63 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
KOL
1 - 2
LYO
34%
22%
44%
|
17 | 74 | 57 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
LYO
1 - 3
KOL
74%
14%
12%
|
16 | 74 | 58 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1958 |
BIR
2 - 0
KOL
84%
9%
7%
|
16 | 78 | 62 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1958 |
KOL
2 - 2
BIR
33%
22%
44%
|
16 | 79 | 63 | 0 |