Roma vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
ROM
2 - 0
DYN
70%
18%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
REG
0 - 2
ROM
20%
24%
55%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ROM
3 - 0
SIE
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PAL
0 - 2
ROM
29%
25%
47%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
INT
0 - 1
ROM
62%
20%
19%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
JUV
0 - 1
UDI
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CAG
2 - 3
JUV
20%
25%
55%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 3
JUV
26%
26%
49%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
JUV
5 - 1
LIV
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 3
SPE
81%
14%
5%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | -1 |