Roma vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
44.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
SAM
0 - 0
ROM
44%
30%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
ROM
3 - 3
INT
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
FIO
1 - 0
ROM
67%
21%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
ROM
0 - 0
VIC
58%
25%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
ROM
1 - 2
LAZ
43%
30%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1974 |
CES
0 - 1
JUV
28%
29%
44%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
INT
0 - 2
JUV
48%
27%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
JUV
2 - 0
SAM
82%
12%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAG
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
CES
0 - 2
JUV
22%
30%
49%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |