Roma vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
USF
1 - 0
ROM
41%
28%
30%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
ROM
2 - 2
LAZ
68%
21%
11%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
SAM
0 - 0
ROM
44%
28%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
ROM
3 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
14%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
VIC
0 - 0
ROM
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
JUV
3 - 3
TOR
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
CAG
1 - 1
JUV
48%
28%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
JUV
4 - 1
NAP
64%
23%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
65%
22%
13%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1971 |
TWE
2 - 2
JUV
57%
24%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |