Roma vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 0
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 3
INT
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
BAR
2 - 2
ROM
29%
25%
47%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ROM
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
JUV
3 - 2
GEN
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
TRI
1 - 1
JUV
31%
26%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
LIV
0 - 3
JUV
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
JUV
4 - 2
INT
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
BAR
2 - 3
JUV
24%
22%
55%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |